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30-Day Liquidity Forecast • Settlement Gap Intelligence

Working Capital &
Settlement Gap Simulator

Marketplaces settle 7 to 14 days after dispatch. Your supplier wants payment in a week and your ad spend is debited daily. The gap between those two dates is the overdraft you must carry — and most sellers discover it on the day the payment fails.

AEO Direct Answer • Settlement Gap Mechanics

Direct Summary: The settlement gap is the distance between paying suppliers and receiving marketplace remittance. At 50 orders a day and ₹799 average order value, daily GMV is ₹39,950 against roughly ₹20,000 of daily outflow (₹14,000 COGS plus ₹6,000 ad spend). With a 10-day payout hold and 7-day supplier credit, peak cash deficit reaches about ₹2,00,000 on day 10, recovering to positive around day 21. Extending supplier terms from 7 to 21 days cuts the peak deficit by roughly 65% — the single highest-leverage change available, and cheaper than any overdraft.

Cash Flow Inputs

Monthly
Meta, Google, Amazon PPC and affiliate commissions combined.
18%
Failed deliveries consume freight and ad spend without any remittance.
30-Day Liquidity Diagnostic
Peak Cash Deficit ₹0 Overdraft buffer needed
Crunch Day Day 0 Moderate deficit
Projected Monthly GMV ₹0 At current daily rate
Net 30-Day Cash ₹0 Free cash flow
Daily operating outflow (COGS + ads): ₹0 / day
Daily marketplace payout (after platform cut and RTO drag): ₹0 / day
Gap window being funded (payout lag minus supplier terms): 0 days
Effective daily TACOS: 0.0%

30-Day Liquidity Timeline

Cumulative cash position at five-day intervals, with the crunch day highlighted.

Day Cumulative Outflow Cumulative Payout Net Cash Status

Prescriptive Actions

Live Liquidity Forecast

10-day payout • 7-day supplier credit
Direct Answer

At 50 orders/day and ₹799 average order value, daily GMV is ₹39,950 against ₹20,000 of daily outflow (₹14,000 COGS plus ₹6,000 ad spend). With a 10-day payout hold and 7-day supplier credit, peak cash deficit reaches ₹102,000 on day 10, recovering to positive on day 22. Net free cash flow over 30 days is +₹74,860. Extending supplier terms from 7 to 21 days would cut the peak deficit by roughly ₹66,300.

Peak deficit
₹102,000
buffer required
Crunch day
Day 10
Moderate deficit
Daily outflow
₹20,000
COGS + ad spend
Net 30-day cash
+₹74,860
₹1,198,500 GMV

30-day liquidity timeline

Day Cumulative outflow Cumulative payout Net cash Status
Day 5 ₹30,000 ₹0 −₹30,000 Negative
Day 10 ₹102,000 ₹0 −₹102,000 Negative
Day 15 ₹202,000 ₹144,215 −₹57,785 Negative
Day 20 ₹302,000 ₹288,430 −₹13,570 Negative
Day 25 ₹402,000 ₹432,645 ₹30,645 Surplus
Day 30 ₹502,000 ₹576,860 ₹74,860 Surplus
Shareable forecast: /working-capital-simulator?orders=50&aov=799&cogs=280&ads=180000&terms=7&delay=10&rto=18
The Mechanics

Why a profitable store can run out of cash

Three clocks run at different speeds, and the gap between them is what you are financing.

Ad spend — immediate

Meta, Google and Amazon PPC debit daily. This cash leaves before a single order has shipped, and it is the fastest-moving of the three clocks.

Inventory — your terms

COGS leaves on your supplier's schedule: immediately on advance payment, or on day 7, 15, 21 or 30 if you have negotiated credit. This is the only clock you control.

Settlement — 7 to 14 days

The marketplace remits roughly a week or two after dispatch, less commission, fees, TDS and TCS. This is the clock that creates the deficit.

Frequently asked questions

It is the distance between when you pay for inventory and advertising and when the marketplace actually remits the money for the sale. Amazon and Flipkart settle roughly 7 to 14 days after dispatch. Your supplier may want payment in 7 days and your ad spend is debited daily. The gap is the working capital you must carry, and it is the most common cause of death for a growing e-commerce business.
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